With the opening round of the Grand Slam wrapped up, Thursday, August 28, officially marks the commencement of the second round in full swing. Day 5 of the tournament sets up a nail-biting clash between Alexander Zverev and Jacob Fearnley. We’ve conducted a thorough analysis to give you the best insights for planning your betting strategies. Keep reading for our Zverev vs Fearnley prediction and betting tips.
Player Form: Zverev in Form
Currently ranked world No. 1, Zverev has displayed remarkable consistency in recent years, and 2025 has been no exception. He began the season with a strong run at the Australian Open, finishing as runner-up to Jannik Sinner in the final. Throughout the year, the German has made it to the quarterfinals or beyond in nearly every tournament he’s entered and also grabbed a title in Munich with a 6-2, 6-4 victory over Ben Shelton.
At the US Open, Zverev bagged his spot in the second round by defeating Alejandro Tabilo 6-2, 7-6(4), 6-4 in the round of 128, smashing 9 aces and saving 100% of the break points he faced. Zverev has maintained a win-loss record of 44-16.
In comparison, Fearnley has had a rather mild season. With a 14-16 win-loss record, he has yet to make it as far as a quarterfinal or semifinal in any tournament, let alone win a title. Currently ranked world No. 60, the Brit is struggling to hold his ground this season. However, he may be eager to raise his game now that the US Open is underway and grab a few points. Fearnley defeated Roberto Bautista Agut in a four-set thriller to reach the second round. He smashed a total of 20 aces, while saving 73% of his break points.
From the Bookies’ Perspective: Clear Favourite
Bookmaker Betway is in favour of Zverev coming out on top in this encounter, making him the favourite at 1/12. Meanwhile, Fearnley is sitting at 7/1 to win. Set betting suggests a 3-0 victory for Zverev, with this outcome paying 8/11.
Head-to-Head Stats: Zverev in the lead
Zverev and Fearnley have met twice before this encounter, with both of them taking place in 2025. On each occasion, Zverev came out on top, first in the third round of the Australian Open, and then again in the second round of the ATP Masters 1000 in Miami. Zverev leads the head-to-head 2-0.
Key Factors to Keep in Mind
After opening up about struggles with mental health and moments of feeling “alone” and “empty,” Zverev appears to have found his footing again with the help of professionals and close friends, and is now looking forward to collecting trophies as he goes. Despite his setbacks, he remains one of the players logging the most court time season after season. For Fearnley, holding his own against Zverev will be anything but easy.
Zverev vs Fearnley Prediction and Betting Tips
We are with the bookmakers in this match. Zverev is our clear favourite, and we expect this encounter to go no other way. The clash is expected to end in straight sets, but Fearnley is going to put up a fight and a few points. Here are a few of our safer betting options:
- Zverev to Win @ 8/11
- Fearnley Handicap +6.5 @ 11/10
