The US Open is down to its final stretch, and just like clockwork, the big names have found their way back into the final four. Carlos Alcaraz and Novak Djokovic stand against each other, being the first pair to reach the semi-finals—a clash that promises tension and drama. As the saying goes, with great matches come great betting opportunities. Therefore, we are ready with our detailed analysis on this upcoming brawl to help you make safer betting choices. Stick around for our Djokovic vs Alcaraz prediction and betting tips.
Player Form: Alcaraz in Kill Mode
Djokovic’s blistering form comes as no shock to the tennis enthusiasts out there. The former longest-reigning world No.1 and 24-time Grand Slam champion is back in the race for another title in the US Open. He has had an excellent season so far, with multiple appearances in the quarter and semi-finals, along with a title in Geneva. With a win-loss record of 31-9, Djokovic breezed past Learner Tien and Zachary Svajda in the opening rounds before ending Cameron Norrie’s campaign in the round of 32. He then defeated Jan Lennard Struff in the round of 16 to secure his quarter-final spot, where he went toe-to-toe with Taylor Fritz and emerged victorious in a four-set battle, 6-3, 7-5, 3-6, 6-4. Now, he faces Alcaraz in the semi-finals, battling for a spot in the finale.
World No. 2 Alcaraz, on the other hand, has been breathtaking this season. With an unbelievable win-loss record of 59-6, Alcaraz has won 6 titles so far, including the prestigious Roland Garros. His US Open journey has been sensational, reaching the semi-finals without dropping a single set. Alcaraz has already once conquered the US Open in 2022, where he defeated Casper Ruud in a four-set thriller, 6–4, 2–6, 7–6(7–1), 6–3. This year, Alcaraz blazed past Reilly Opelka and Mattia Bellucci in the opening rounds and followed it up with wins over Luciano Darderi and Arthur Rinderknech in the third and fourth rounds to reach the quarter-finals. In the quarter-finals, Alcaraz outplayed Jiri Lehecka 6-4, 6-2, 6-4 to reach the semis, where he is set to face the veteran Djokovic.
From The Bookies’ Perspective: Alcaraz For the Win
The bookmakers are heavily leaning towards Alcaraz coming out on top in this encounter, making him the favourite at 2/7. While Djokovic sits a little behind at 11/4 to win. Set betting suggests a 3-0 victory for Alcaraz, with this result paying 9/5.
Head-to-Head Statistics: Djokovic Leading
Djokovic and Alcaraz have crossed paths eight times before this showdown, with Djokovic winning five of those matches. Their most recent encounter came in the Australian Open quarter-finals, where Djokovic ended Alcaraz’s run with a 4-6, 6-4, 6-3, 6-4 victory. As it stands, Djokovic leads their head-to-head 5-3.
Key Factors to Keep in Mind
In this high-voltage rivalry between the veteran Djokovic and the prodigy Alcaraz, there’s one key factor to keep in mind. With their head-to-head currently at 5-3, the majority of these matches have taken place on hard courts—a surface where Djokovic has often held the upper hand and the US Open is yet another hard surface for Djokovic to conquer.
Now that we talk about statistics, Djokovic has fired down 284 aces this season and won 88% of his service games. Alcaraz, on the other hand, has blasted around 355 aces and won 86% of his service games, not counting their US Open stats. Moreover, Alcaraz didn’t face a single break point in his quarter-final match, showcasing his sharp and locked-in form right now.
Djokovic vs Alcaraz Prediction and Betting Tips
Well, this matchup is a treasure trove of betting opportunities, with a number of possible outcomes and lucrative odds on the table. While public sentiment seems to lean towards Alcaraz taking this one, we at Your Opinion are backing Djokovic to come out on top. That said, it’s far from a walk in the park—both players are in lethal form and hungry for the title. We’re predicting a thrilling five-set battle, with Djokovic edging through in the end. Here are a few betting tips worth considering:
- Djokovic to Win 3-2 @ 17/2
- Total Sets of 3.5 @ 7/10
- Total Games Over 36.5 @ 1/1
- Set One Winner: Djokovic @ 37/20
Djokovic and Alcaraz will face each other on the 6th September at Arthur Ashe Stadium.
