The US Open is down to its final four, and today we find out who will be our contenders in the Grand Slam finale. In what promises to be a thrilling semi-final showdown, Jannik Sinner and Felix Auger-Aliassime will stand against each other for a place in the championship match. We’ve done the homework and broken down the numbers to bring lucrative betting opportunities to spice up your wagers. Read on for our Sinner vs Aliassime prediction and betting tips.
Player Form: Sinner Overpowering
World No.1, Sinner, has been in tremendous form for a while now. His 2025 season has been exceptional, with a win-loss record of 36-4 and 2 titles, including the grand slam victory in Wimbledon. Despite his three months of absence at the start of the season, Sinner has reached the finals of five out of the six tourneys he appeared in. The Italian began his US Open run by defeating Vit Kopriva and Alexei Popyrin in the first and second rounds. In the third round, Sinner ended Denis Shapovalov’s campaign in four sets: 5-7, 6-4, 6-3, 6-3, and moved on to defeat Alexander Bublik in the fourth round, reaching the quarter-finals. Sinner established his semi-final spot after crushing Lorenzo Musetti in straight sets in the quarter-finals. Sinner has been in brilliant form across all surfaces, with hard courts being his stronghold.
Meanwhile, Aliassime’s stats are not as impressive as Sinner’s; he still managed to grab two ATP 250 titles, however he witnessed early round exits in almost all other major tournaments. He has managed to maintain a 35-18 win-loss record, with the US Open being his highlight of the season. Aliassime defeated Billy Harris and Roman Safiullin in the first and second rounds, followed by a stunning third-round victory over Alexander Zverev in a major upset. He then blazed past Andrey Rublev in the fourth round and defeated Alex-De-Minaur in the quarter-finals to secure his semi-final spot against Sinner.
From The Bookies’ Perspective: Sinner Clear Win
The bookies are expecting no other result than Sinner being the winner in this encounter, making him the favourite at 1/33. While Aliassime is far behind at 11/1 to win. Set betting suggests a 3-0 victory for Sinner, with this result paying 4/11.
Head-to-Head Statistics: Aliassime Leads
Sinner and Aliassime have come across each other four times before this encounter, and defying all the statistics, Aliassime has gained victory three times in these encounters, including one walkover. Their latest encounter was in the ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati, where Sinner defeated Aliassime 6-0, 6-2. Hence, their head-to-head stands at 1-2.
Key Factors to Keep in Mind
Aliassime has logged more court time this season, while Sinner has sharpened his game with precision, and consistent victories. This clash is shaping up to be a real nail-biter, but several key factors could swing the outcome. Last year, Sinner faced a doping controversy that led to a three-month ban in the 2025 season. Now, he’s not only determined to put that chapter behind him but also returns as the defending champion, aiming to retain his crown. Considering his razor-sharp form and rock-solid backhand, the edge seems to lean in Sinner’s favour.
Sinner vs Aliassime Prediction and Betting Tips
Well, if we look at the statistics, there is no other outcome than Sinner being the winner in this encounter, unless of course, Aliassime is ready to lay everything down for the win. Here are a few interesting bets you can look into while punting on this encounter:
Sinner vs Aliassime Prediction and Betting Tips
- Total Games Over 27.5 @ 2/5
- “Price Boost Betway” Jannik Sinner To Win Match 3-1 @ 18/5
- Aliassime to Win a Set @ 19/10
Sinner and Aliassime will face each other on Friday, 5th September, 7 P.M. E.T. in the Arthur Ashe Stadium.
